After his Florida loss to Trump, Marco Rubio has suspended his campaign.
The Junior United States Senator from Florida stopped his campaign for the presidency after Donald Trump, the Republican front-runner, won 45.8% of the vote while Rubio only won 27% (Cruz won 17.1% and Kasich won 6.8%, respectively).
Rubio had promoted his message of unity in the country and become the “young” candidate who was going to unify the country. He had often discussed his Cuban roots and how his parents had always worked as hard as they could to provide for themselves.
"While we are on the right side, this year, we will not be on the winning side,” he said to a crowd as he suspended his campaign. When he congratulated Trump on his win, he was met with many boos.
Rubio had always been in the third, Trump leading and Cruz being his close second. He had been attacking Trump since February, from calling out his lack of strong policy to the size of his hands.
Now that Rubio is out of the race, who do you think will win the Republican nominate? Who do you think will drop out? Where do you think Rubio’s voters will go?
http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/15/politics/marco-rubio-drops-out/index.html
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/florida
http://miami.cbslocal.com/2016/03/15/marco-rubio-suspends-campaign-after-losing-florida/
http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/15/politics/marco-rubio-drops-out/index.html
http://www.nytimes.com/elections/results/florida
http://miami.cbslocal.com/2016/03/15/marco-rubio-suspends-campaign-after-losing-florida/
12 comments:
Despite the fact that I was never personally fond of Rubio, I am even more fearful now that he is out of the race. He was less conservative than Cruz and Trump, though still pretty bad. Now, it is almost guaranteed that a staunch conservative will win the Republican nomination. Trump and Cruz are conservative in every sense, and Kasich has shown himself to hold some pretty right-wing views too (he does not believe in global warming, for example). If I could choose one person to win the Republican nomination, it would be Kasich, but I really do not think that he will be able to gain sufficient momentum to pass Cruz and Trump. In fact, I think he may even drop out.
As for where Rubio's voters will go, I think they will be fairly evenly distributed between the three candidates, particularly Cruz and Kasich. This is certainly an interesting political season for the GOP; only time will tell how things end up for them.
P.S. Thanks for the Parks and Rec reference ("I'll miss you in the saddest fashion...").
Source: http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/16/us/politics/marco-rubio.html?_r=0
I agree with raswaglia above. I was never a fan of Rubio, but I liked him a lot more than Cruz or Trump and as of now I still hope Kasich can pull through (but it is not likely). Rubio’s voters were more towards the establishment side of the part, so I think a lot will go to Kasich and maybe some to Cruz. Rubio’s campaign manager has even thrown his support behind Cruz via twitter. Since he has dropped out, his delegates are now “unbound” and essentially free to vote for the candidate of their choice at the convention. This could help the Republicans get a brokered or contested convention as long as Trump fails to seize the majority of delegates. Rubio’s 163 delegates represent more than 13% of the 1,237 needed for a majority, so this is definitely a possibility. Rubio also still hold influence over his delegates and this could lead to deals being made at the convention if it is a contested one. I think, sadly, that Cruz will be the nominee. I can’t see the GOP not doing everything in their power to stop Trump, and thus the runner up would be Cruz. While I do like Kasich, he only has 143 candidates, while Cruz has 408 and Trump has 662. But, as raswaglia said, only time can tell who will be the Republican nominee.
http://heavy.com/news/2016/03/marco-rubio-who-gets-delegates-drop-out-polls/
http://www.cnn.com/politics
Rubio dropping out is unfortunate for his supporters, of which there are quite a few. I am not too surprised by this, though a little dismayed (like Hannah said). Rubio had a disastrous debate a few weeks ago, becoming the brunt of many jokes when he repeated a phrase about Obama verbatim about four times. Like the other two commenters said, Rubio was almost better than Cruz or Trump and his campaign suspension is just one more person trampled by the unstoppable Donald. If he had enough delegates to really swing things at a Republican convention, this year could be interesting all the way until the end. I will say that it seems like Trump will be the nominee based on his widespread, bewildering victories. However, I don't think the game is up just yet. As the other commenters said, Kasich is a desirable but unlikely nominee. Cruz is the second most likely after Trump, but considering that the Republican establishment isn't too crazy about him, either, he may not be able to inspire the free agent delegates to cast votes in his favor. On the other side of the aisle, I think that if Bernie suffers many losses in the next few weeks he will have no choice to drop out, but he isn't showing many signs of quitting just yet.
I am also not surprised by Rubio's choice to drop out due to his dismal performance in Florida's primary. I think it will be interesting to see if he chooses to endorse another candidate in an attempt to take the spot of VP on the GOP ticket. I doubt that it will be Trump, considering their heated interactions on the debate stage (Need I remind you of the "little hands" incident?), however, candidates have shocked us and had sudden changes of heart (See Chris Christie). It seems that Kasich is angling for the endorsement, tweeting "Make no mistake, @MarcoRubio will continue to be a powerful voice for the future of our Republican party." However, Cruz also took to twitter saying, "@MarcoRubio’s story embodies the promise of America. He will continue to be a champion for limitless opportunity." After I watched Kasich's speech following his win in Ohio, I don't think he will be dropping out anytime soon. His excitement and the abundance of confetti made it seem like he had just won the nomination. I think he truly believes that with this win and the upcoming primaries in the Northeast and West that he has a shot at the nomination. I agree with Raswaglia that while Kasich does hold some quite conservative views, he is the most moderate option. If he performs as he thinks he will, it is even more likely that it will be a contested convention as we discussed in class today. This far in the race, I don't anticipate Kasich nor Cruz dropping out. It will be exciting to see if this will in fact be a contested convention and if Trump's prediction of riots will ring true.
(Like Raswaglia, I also appreciate the Parks and Rec reference)
https://www.romper.com/p/who-will-marco-rubio-endorse-now-that-hes-officially-out-of-the-gop-race-7250
https://news.vice.com/article/donald-trump-riot-contested-convention
Losing in Florida put the final nail in the coffin for Rubio's campaign. At the start things looked bright for Rubio, but as time passed he, along with other insiders, came under attack for being apart of the hated establishment. From there his past poor voting record in the Senate was brought up and his failed attempt to rewrite immigration laws placed him at odds with many conservatives. He tried his best to put up a good fight against the political power that is Trump, but was unsuccessful, and even resorted to stooping to Trump's level. Overall, Rubio's campaign had been on a downward slide for a while and losing in his own state revealed that this race would not be the time for him. While he had many conservative views, many moderate Republicans supported Rubio. With him out of the race Kasich is likely to take the vast majority of his supporters, due to him being the last moderate candidate in the Republican field. As a result I don't see Kasich leaving the race, especially as the primaries head into the Northeast and West where he likely to have a strong showing. Despite this Kasich will not be able to win enough delegates to secure him the nomination, but will certainly contribute to the likely hood of a contested convention. In that case I don't see the GOP picking Cruz, whom many dislike, nor Trump, whom much of the establishment has actively fought against. There remains the possibility that Kasich or even Rubio could come out the winner.
http://www.nytimes.com/2016/03/16/us/politics/marco-rubio.html?_r=0
Like Amanda said, losing one's home state is utterly devastating. How can one hope to win in the whole country if he or she cannot even win their home state? Rubio made a valiant effort, but he only proved the ever-growing dissatisfaction with the RNC establishment. Any other election year, the likes of Rubio and Bush would have reaped the benefits of PAC's and the media, but this year marks a new age of American elections. Trump polarized social media and his opponents into making a campaign for him, all he has to do is sit back and watch as every news outlet in the country capitalizes on his words for ratings. In a mad dash to exploit the widespread anti-Trump sentiment, people like John Oliver only fuel the fire of Trump's supporters by offering false perspectives of why Trump is bad. Oliver makes it seem like Trump is against the idea of immigration through his "Drumpf" bit when this is not the case, only giving power to supporters that realize that the media will say anything for the sensationalism. If the media instead stayed level-headed and reported the facts like how Trump believes that the Chinese caused global warming to sabotage us, Trump would have remained a joke candidate in my opinion.
Although Rubio was potentially the only candidate that could have revitalized the Republican Party and beaten Trump (*cough* *cough* Hitler), there is a side of me that cannot help but feel extreme joy from the fact that he dropped out. The reason for this is that people often made him out to be a voice of a new generation of young Republicans, but in more ways than one he was just as backwards as Cruz (for that reason, it is likely that many Rubio supporters will now shift their allegiance to the Texas Senator). Essentially, what bothered me is that people perceived Rubio as the candidate that was more in-touch with young people, but in reality his head was just as far up his own behind as most other conservatives. Rubio and Cruz may have differed in their fiscal views (Cruz is a straight-up nut-job for wanting to get rid of the IRS and Federal Reserve), but they were both equally opposed to a number of mainstream social causes that many young people actively support. Rubio was probably the most vehemently anti-choice of any of the four remaining GOP candidates, he was just as opposed to same-sex marriage as any other right-winger, and he, like many of his Republican allies, rejected climate change (you know, the thing that 97% of scientists state is real). I'm just glad that Rubio's gone so that we can dispel this fiction that Marco Rubio is a moderate. He's a conservative, not a moderate, and he knew exactly what he was doing.
As for the remaining contenders in the GOP race, I'm honestly not sure what'll happen anymore. There are only 1,061 delegates remaining, and after doing the math, I found that Trump would need to win 564 of these in order to win the nomination. This is more than half, and since Republican voters are now left to choose between only three candidates instead of four, it will likely become even more difficult for Trump to secure the 1,237 delegates needed for the Republican nomination. Thus, I have a feeling that the Republican National Convention will be a brokered convention, and since Trump is the GOP establishment's last choice for a nominee, it seems increasingly likely that another candidate will receive the nomination. One cannot ignore the fact that Trump is still polling so well, however, and so there is still the terrifying possibility that he will receive the nomination.
Regardless of what happens, the GOP is certainly in a pickle at the moment. If Trump receives the nomination, the Republican Party will have a presidential candidate who actively condones violence and who is a known racist. This will inevitably alienate scores of moderates. On the other hand, if the GOP has a brokered convention and selects someone other than Trump to be the nominee, this will alienate millions of conservative Republicans, who will potentially lose faith in their own party. For this reason, the GOP is stuck between the equally unappealing choices of allowing a bigot to be their nominee and undermining the will of the people, and so it will be interesting to watch how all of this plays out.
Sources:
http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/16/politics/contested-convention-how-it-works-questions/
https://www.google.com/webhp?sourceid=chrome-instant&ion=1&espv=2&ie=UTF-8#q=republican%20delegates&eob=m.09c7w0/R/3/short/m.09c7w0/
As Claire said, I never really loved Rubio, but he was a much better alternative than Trump or Cruz. I expect that many of Rubio's delegates will go to Kasich, and some may go to Cruz. I do not predict that any delegates will go to Trump because the new free agent delegates have reflected a distaste towards him. However, they have also expressed their dislike of Cruz. This hopefully means that they will cast their votes to Kasich, who is a very desirable candidate (being the only moderate one). In the end, I think Trump will be the Republican nominee because he has (surprisingly) had very widespread support throughout the primaries and caucuses. But, let's all hope for Kasich to pull out a victory.
AWWWWW, I'm really sad about Rubio's drop out, but there was no other option for him once he lost Florida, his home state, to Trump. He was a good moderate candidate that actually was posing a threat to Trump in the polls. The only upside to his drop out is the potential for Kasich's campaign to take off. I seriously hope the delegates won by rubio don't go to trump, I simply can't imagine him or hilary as our president and am desperately looking for someone else to step in. Therefore, I agree with Caitlyn, praying for Kasich may be our only option. Trumps comments have been outrageous and i simply cannot even believe that he could potentially represent our country. He need some change and fast, or this may turn out the be the worst presidential election in history.
I think Rubio’s decision to drop out was expected as he lost his own state which is quite a rare event and especially embarrassing. I respect his decision in realizing that he had lost his chance in winning the Republican Nomination and that he did not drag his candidacy out. However I think Rubio is the most respectable Republican candidate next to Kasich and it's a disappointment and shame to see a potential candidate fall at the knees of bigots such as Donald Trump who could fulfill the job of the presidency in a more respectable manner. The poor Republican Party now is stuck with Ted Cruz and Donald Trump who certainly raise eyebrows whenever they speak. As I said before this is a shame. Now these votes from Rubio fly in the air. Will they succumb to Trump’s egotistical, hate filled campaign? I hope not. And then there is Cruz who doesn't seem like an ideal candidate for the Republican Party either. Because of this I've reached a place in which I really have no true expectation for what will happen and who Rubio's supporters will go. Gwen mentioned in class that some Rubio voters were so strongly opposed to voting for someone like Cruz or Trump that they'd rather vote for a democratic candidate. Therefore this creates a concern for the Republican Party because they will lose votes due to such an extremist candidate like Trump. Due to the bizarre nature of this election many factors have swayed Republican voters to the opposite side of the spectrum in which they are willing to vote for a democrat. As a result, the success of Trump and the failure of other Republican candidates has caused this battle for the presidency to be quite likely a hand given position to the democratic candidate. Ultimately, I believe Trump will win the Republican candidacy. However the unusual path this presidential race has taken will likely allow the democratic candidate to win. The failure of more ideal candidates such as Rubio, have caused concern among the Republican Party because a significant number of Republicans would not vote for a man like Trump. Therefore, the loss of party loyalty has resulted in the most extraordinary presidential race to ever occur, and it is concerning to imagine what will happen next.
I agree with the previous posts and their statement that they are not surprised Rubio has dropped out of the presidential race after Florida loss. "While we are on the right side," he said," this year, we will not be on the winning side."Rubio had positioned himself as the only person who could stop Trump, and had gone on the attack, memorably bringing up the size of the Trump's hands during a campaign rally and at a presidential debate. I give Rubio credit for not holding back on his opinions about Trump and giving Trump a taste of his own medicine as Trump has made numerous rude statements to the other candidates running for office. Moreover, Rubio's campaign slogan was "a new American century". He tried to send the message that America needed a new generation of leadership that could deal with the challenges ahead. One of the advantages that Rubio did have was his youth with fresh ideas, especially in comparison to the front runners in the race, Sanders, Clinton and Trump. Furthermore, Rubio has become the brunt of many jokes and has been losing popularity in recent weeks. Because Rubio has dropped out, I am frustrated to state that I think Trump will be the Republican candidate. Trump continues to be successful and has a determined, persistent attitude which will help him stand out and win support.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/15/politics/marco-rubio-drops-out/index.html
Source: http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/15/politics/marco-rubio-drops-out/index.html
El KittyCat makes an excellent point; in regards to Trump, the GOP is damned if they do, and damned if they don't. They can give him the nomination that is rightly his and alienate their base and hundreds of millions of Americans or they can stage a brokered convention and toss someone party figurehead like Paul Ryan into the fray. Wait, would not the latter be done in direct defiance of the people's will? This would seem awfully hypocritical given the party's much-publicized objections to the prospect of an Obama SCOTUS nominee on the grounds that it would be done in opposition to, again, the will of the people.
Little Marco: I am very content in your failure. To me, you are microcosmic of some of the great flaws in our political hierarchy. He won his Senate chair only six years ago, and could have held it for the rest of his career. He could have dedicated himself to actually doing his job and trying to alleviate Florida's many woes instead of looking to use it as a political springboard, a tactic to which he is no stranger. In October, the South Florida Sun-Sentinel's editorial board called for Rubio's resignation. In an absolutely scalding manner, they wrote, "By choosing to stay in the Senate and get the publicity, perks and pay that go with the position — without doing the work — you are taking advantage of us.... Either do your job, Sen. Rubio, or resign it."
If Rubio was this lackadaisical towards the elected position that he already held, I can only imagine how callous and heavy-handed a president he would have been. This is compounded by the prevailing notion that he has accomplished precious little during his time in the Senate and fled from any perceived threat to his pedagogical plans for self-advancement (see: Gang of Eight).
Goodbye, Marco.
We knew ye all too well.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/10/28/you-are-ripping-us-off-a-florida-paper-calls-for-marco-rubios-resignation/?tid=a_inl
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