Super Tuesday 2.0 was full of surprises, with Kasich successfully winning his State of Ohio, and Trump winning the other 4. Or on the Democratic side with Clinton winning all 5 states only increasing her lead in the Democratic race. In addition to all this winning, there was Marco Rubio who desperately needed a win in his home State of Florida in order to stay afloat in the Republican race. However, he lost by quite a large margin only receiving 27% of the votes and no delegates, while trump won 48.5% of the votes and all 99 delegates. As a result, Rubio has now suspended his campaign for now and it is unclear if or when he will resume it. He hasn't dropped out of the race yet but it looks like there isn't much hope left for him in this race. The most meaningful win came with Kasich taking Ohio by storm winning 46.8% of the votes and 66 delegates. This win proves that Trump is not unbeatable and that there is still hope for other candidates to make a run. There is no denying Trumps the favorite at this point to win the ticket with his ample lead over the other Republican candidates. However, this win from Kasich proves that not all hope is lost. On the Democratic side it was a landslide with Clinton sweeping Sanders in all 5 states. It was expected that Clinton would win the majority of the states but I doubt people were expecting from her. Clinton definitely made a statement on Tuesday night and is hoping it can help propel her to victory. For Sanders the question is if he can put this loss behind him and make a push to challenge Clinton.
What does Kasich's win mean for the other remaining candidates in the Republican race?
How can Sanders recover form this devastating loss? Is there still hope left for him?
What will Rubio do now after losing Florida? will he drop out? will he continue his candidacy?
What picutre does Tuesday paint for the Party's futures?
http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2016-election/2016-candidates-aim-change-race-huge-tuesday-primaries-loom-n537966
10 comments:
I wasn’t too surprised that Kasich won Ohio since it is his state, however I was surprised by how large Rubio’s loss was in his own state of Florida. Now writing this, we know that Rubio has dropped out of the race which is a major blow to the GOP because he was the candidate they had been pushing for. Although I don’t think that Kasich can win, I think it important that he stays in so that he can take even a small margin of delegates away from Trump. The most competition the increased likelihood of brokered or contested election. After Clinton swept all 5 states, I think it is only a matter of time until Sanders drops out. Thus I think that it basically a definite that Hillary Clinton will be the Democratic nominee. I think the popularity of Trump and the relative success of Sanders prove that the people are unhappy with the establishment. However I think that this election has more implications for the Republican party, as many say that it is more or less destroying/breaking up the party.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/16/politics/primary-results-republican-party/index.html
I don't think Kasich's win means much in the long run -- Ohio was his home state and people generally liked him (According to a Politcio poll in October of 2015, he only had a 29% disapproval rating and a 62% approval rating). He won his own state which is not extremely uncommon, and it is his only win in the primaries so far. I don't know if there is hope for Sanders. While he may get more delegates in some states, the superdelegates are going to push Clinton over the ledge of the nomination. We know today that Rubio has in fact dropped out and now the nominees are Kasich, Cruz, and Trump. I think if Kasich can hold on until a brokered convention, the party would reward him with nomination. The establishment doesn't like Trump and would prefer the more moderate candidate over Cruz. I think that if Kasich ended up running, some of his more conservative stances would scare some voters away, but more people would chose him over Hillary. I agree with Claire in that this election is changing the Republican party completely.
http://www.politico.com/story/2015/10/poll-john-kasich-ohio-approval-numbers-214549
http://www.ibtimes.com/which-states-have-trump-cruz-rubio-kasich-won-official-delegate-tally-ahead-florida-2334441
http://www.vox.com/2016/3/15/11240918/ohio-primary-results-republican-kasich
As the others have mentioned, Kasich's win wasn't too surprising, considering he is decently well liked in his own state. I don't think this will give him much of a leg up in the long run. Marco Rubio's crushing loss in Florida was unfortunate for his campaign, but does kind of make sense. He's a junior senator in Florida and many Floridian Republicans feel that he really hasn't done much for their state, so they wouldn't feel much connection to him the way that voters from Ohio do with Kasich.
Sanders is contending that he can win every single one of the upcoming primaries (or nearly all of them), and thus has figured that he still has a chance in this race. I believe the words in his email referenced the fact that Hillary will never be as strong as she is now. So, though Clinton is far in the lead at the moment, it can only get worse for her in the upcoming weeks. I don't know how likely it is that he wins every single primary in the next few weeks, but I think he might win enough to keep things interesting. Ultimately, it's really looking like the general election will be Drumpf and Hillary. I think it will be hard to predict voter turnout if this is the case, but I have to hope that even if voters dislike Hillary, they will see her as the lesser of two evils and cast a vote against Drumpf.
In agreement with the majority, I was not surprised by Kasich's victory at all, really. As Olivia mentioned he has great approval ratings in the state and represents well Ohio's center-right/moderate body of thought. Obviously, this does not mean Kasich will win. In order for him to gain the nomination he will, more or less, have to win out for the rest of the primary season. I was, however, surprised by Rubio's large margin of loss in his home state of Florida. I personally don't think Rubio had much of a chance from the beginning though, as he was seen as too far to the right, for many moderates, and too far-leaning towards the center, for many hardcore conservatives. He could never really find the happy medium he needed to please the majority of the conservative vote.
On the Democratic side, it still looks as if Hillary is standing strong and will be able to hold off Sanders in the long run. Even if Sanders were to make it to the general election, and win the nomination, he is simply too far to the left to please the American population. This taken into account, Sander's impact goes far beyond him winning or losing the nomination. He has been a politcal inspiration for many young Americans and represents the values of the true left. Overall, I was not surprised by the outcome of the latest Super Tuesday and I believe (slightly unfortunately) that it's big winners will go on to win the Democratic and Republican nominations, respectively.
http://www.cnn.com/2016/03/15/politics/election-2016-ohio-illinois-florida-primaries-highlights/
Trump and Clinton defiantly won big on Tuesday, which will certainly basically solidify their nominations. However, Kasich's win in Ohio gave me hope!! Especially coupled with Rubio's drop out, I think he may FINALLY gain some steam. Its quite ironic because every time i talk to someone about the possible republican candidates, they all assert in unison that Kasich is their ideal nominee, yet that never seems to be reflected in the polls. However, Kasich represents the moderate Republican which would do wonders for him in the general election. Also, Rubio was the other "moderate" republican. Therefore, with his drop out i predict that many of his supports will flock to Kasich! This could give him a serious bump in the polls. And he will also have momentum from the win in Ohio! This gives me hope that Trump may have a little competition in the last few months.
I think the mini Super Tuesday has has been telling of who the candidates are most likely to be for each party. Kasich’s success in winning the state of Ohio was certainly a surprise but his win does not mean anything in the grand scheme of things. Trump’s overwhelming success for override any other candidates small victories. Although this is said it seems to be the truth. His delegate count is significant and no candidate is even close to it. As a result, Kasich’s success is meaningless although it provided some hope for the Republican Party for a short and sweet moment. In regards to Bernie, it is so sad to say that I think his time has passed. Hillary has dominated thus far and Bernie has had minor wins. However this is not enough for Bernie to surpass Hillary. Ultimately Tuesday has painted the picture for Trump and Hillary to become the nominations from each party. As other candidates still linger along it will only be a matter of time until the front runners, Trump and Hillary, become the nominations for their parties and the others drop out. Ultimately, the failure of candidates such as Martin O’Malley and Marco Rubio have only paved a clearer path for both Trump and Hillary to ride the road to their nominations in their party.
As many previous commentors have stated, Kasich's victory was not much of a surprise to many people. He has had great approval ratings in the state and his ideals coincide with the polls taken from that area. This being said, I do not believe that this effects the race for the GOP nomination all that much, in the ling run. Kasich can not mathematically win unless it goes to a contested nomination, which is the sole reason he is there. Right now, we are all just waiting to see if Trump wins or it actually will be a contested nomination. On the other side of things, Clinton may have just solidified her bid for the democratic nomination. While there is still a pretty size able margin in which Senator Sanders could potential win in, it is growing more unlikely by the day. Sanders will, however, not stop fighting until that small chance of winning is gone completely. I just believe Sanders does not have the mindset for giving up so easily against Clinton. Furthermore, as KingPash has stated, Sanders run for nomination does not end if he loses the race. His ideals and "political revolution" have taken the country by storm, and no doubt in every political election after this, there will be a Sanders-esque candidate.
http://www.dispatch.com/content/stories/public/2016/primary-election/ohio-gop-presidential-primary-results.html
At this point, it's clear to me that Sanders is out of the campaign. I never really felt the Bern, but I absolutely love Bernie as a man and as a politician, and I think he set a perfect standard as an honest, likable, altruistic candidate that should be regarded and followed in future elections. He will continue to do great work in the Senate undoubtedly. With the DNC field being clarified, now we can fully focus on the mess that is the current state of the Republican party. Marco was absolutely a guy that the GOP elite was pulling for, and his loss will be of grave concern for the Republicans. The only establishment hope left is Kasich, and he is a long shot at this point. We definitely know who to expect from the left come November, but who might be from the right is anyone's guess. The scenarios in which a disgruntled Trump runs as a third-party candidate, or the potential scenarios come convention time are equally innumerable. It appears at though we are in the long haul to unravel this GOP nomination. Should be one for the history (Gov Pol) books.
It seems unfortunate that there are just no way for candidates to make up ground in the election. Being a bystander and watching candidates you feel to be imbeciles gain more vote is always disappointing and makes you worry about your future and the people in your country. I didn't really know much about Kasich originally, but now I hope we can get a contested convention and that Kasich can be chose as the nominee. I know people like Trump as he is an outsider, but it shows just how little people really understand about American politics and how elections should be conducted. As for the democratic side of things, I'm a little disappointed that Bernie doesn't seem to have any way to win. I still don't really know why, but I just don't like Clinton as a candidate, and I was hoping that Sanders would be able to edge her out. It didn't help that all of the other democrats dropped out, making people vote for either Hillary or Sanders. If there had been more it could have possibly ended up like the current Republican race.
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